Title: Global context for the United States Forest Sector in 2030
Author: Turner, James; Buongiorno, Joseph; Zhu, Shushuai; Prestemon, Jeffrey P.
Source: In: Alavalapati, J.; Carter D., eds. Proceedings of the 2004 Southern Forest Economics Workshop, March 14-16, 2004, St. Augustine, FL: University of Florida: 6-15
Description: The purpose of this study was to identify markets for, and competitors to, the United States forest industries in the next 30 years. The Global Forest Products Model was used to make predictions of international demand, supply, trade, and prices, conditional on the last RPA Timber Assessment projections for the United States. It was found that the United States, Japan and Europe would remain important markets out to 2030, but China would grow into the world's largest importer of roundwood and manufactured products. Mexico would become an important importer of sawnwood and papers; and the Republic of Korea of wood panels and pulp. The United States' share of exports of industrial roundwood and paper and paperboard would increase, while its exports of sawnwood would decline, replaced by exports from Canada, Finland, Austria, Chile, and New Zealand. Besides Finland and Austria, Indonesia, alaysia and Thailand would remain the main competitors to U.S. exports of wood based panels.
Keywords: International trade, forest products, forecasting, competition, modeling, markets
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Turner, James; Buongiorno, Joseph; Zhu, Shushuai; Prestemon, Jeffrey P. 2005. Global context for the United States Forest Sector in 2030. In: Alavalapati, J.; Carter D., eds. Proceedings of the 2004 Southern Forest Economics Workshop, March 14-16, 2004, St. Augustine, FL: University of Florida: 6-15
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