Forest Products Laboratory

Title: North American pulp & paper model (NAPAP)

Author: Ince, Peter J.; Buongiorno, Joseph

Date: 2007

Source: Resource and market projections for forest policy development : twenty-five years of experience with the U.S. RPA timber assessment. Dordrecht, The Netherlands : Springer, c2007. Managing forest ecosystems ; v. 14: pages 99-174

Description: This chapter describes the development and structure of the NAPAP model and compares it to other forest sector models. The NAPAP model was based on PELPS and adapted to describe paper and paperboard product demand, pulpwood and recovered paper supply, and production capacity and technology, with spatially dynamic market equilibria. We describe how the model predicts paper and paperboard product demands and trade flows over time, concurrently with regional capacity changes and corresponding shifts in process technology based on Tobin's q theory of capital investment. We describe how the model was tested and calibrated and then provide examples of applications.

Keywords: Commerce, paper industry, statistics, wood-pulp industry, paperboard industry, economic aspects, supply, demand, pulpwood, marketing, pulpwood, waste paper, recycling, paper industry, forecasting, market surveys, NAPAP, models

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Citation

Ince, Peter J.; Buongiorno, Joseph  2007.  North American pulp & paper model (NAPAP).   Resource and market projections for forest policy development : twenty-five years of experience with the U.S. RPA timber assessment. Dordrecht, The Netherlands : Springer, c2007. Managing forest ecosystems ; v. 14: pages 99-174.