Title: Modeling the invasive emerald ash borer risk of spread using a spatially explicit cellular model
Author: Prasad, Anantha M.; Iverson, Louis R.; Peters, Matthew P.; Bossenbroek, Jonathan M.; Matthews, Stephen N.; Sydnor, T. Davis; Schwartz, Mark W.
Source: Landscape Ecology. 25: 253-369.
The emerald ash borer (EAB, Agrilus planipennis) is decimating native ashes (Fraxinus sp.) throughout midwestern North America, killing millions of trees over the years. With plenty of ash available throughout the continent, the spread of this destructive insect is likely to continue. We estimate that the insect has been moving along a "front" at about 20 km/year since about 1998, but more alarming is its long-range dispersal into new locations facilitated by human activities. We describe a spatially explicit cell-based model used to calculate risk of spread in Ohio, by combining the insect's flight and short-range dispersal ("insect flight") with human-facilitated, long-range dispersal ("insect ride").
Keywords: emerald ash borer, EAB, Agrilus planipennis, spread model, stratified dispersal, spatially explicit cellular model Ohio, gravity model, Fraxinus, ash, roads networks, invasive, highway traffic, insect flight model, insect ride model
View or Print this Publication (806 KB)
- We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
- This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
- This publication may be available in hard copy. Check the Northern Research Station web site to request a printed copy of this publication.
- Our on-line publications are scanned and captured using Adobe Acrobat. During the capture process some typographical errors may occur. Please contact Sharon Hobrla, email@example.com if you notice any errors which make this publication unusable.
Prasad, Anantha M.; Iverson, Louis R.; Peters, Matthew P.; Bossenbroek, Jonathan M.; Matthews, Stephen N.; Sydnor, T. Davis; Schwartz, Mark W. 2010. Modeling the invasive emerald ash borer risk of spread using a spatially explicit cellular model. Landscape Ecology. 25: 253-369.
Get the latest version of the Adobe Acrobat reader or Acrobat Reader for Windows with Search and Accessibility