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Title: Climate scenarios for the conterminous United States at the county spatial scale using SRES scenarios B2 and PRISM climatology

Author: Coulson, David P.; Joyce, Linda A.; Price, David T; McKenney, Daniel W.

Date: 2010

Source: Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. Online: http://www.fs.fed.us/rm/data_archive/dataaccess/US_ClimateScenarios_county_B2_PRISM.shtml

Publication Series: Miscellaneous

Description: Monthly totals of precipitation in millimeters (mm), monthly means of daily maximum air temperature in degrees Celsius (C), and monthly means of daily minimum air temperature (C) were developed at the county spatial level for the conterminous United States (US). Also, included are computed monthly mean of daily potential evapotranspiration (mm) and mean grid elevation in meters (m). These data were developed from the SRES (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios) scenario B2 used in the Third Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, specifically as modeled by these climate models: GCGM2 (Climate Centre for Modelling and Analysis), CSIRO MK2 (Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation), and HadCM3 (Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research UK). The monthly change factors were developed from global model output and downscaled to the 5 arc minute spatial grid using ANUSPLIN following the work of Price et al. (2004). The 30 year mean climatology (1961-1990) was developed from PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) data at the 2.5 arc minute scale and aggregated to the 5 arc minute grid scale. The change factors were imposed upon the 30-year period (1961-1990) to develop the projections for each climate scenario. The county means were computed using a weighted mean of the 5 arc minute grids within the county.

Keywords: RPA assessment, climate scenario, temperature projections, precipitation projections, PET projections

Publication Notes:

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  • This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
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Coulson, David P.; Joyce, Linda A.; Price, David T; McKenney, Daniel W. 2010. Climate scenarios for the conterminous United States at the county spatial scale using SRES scenarios B2 and PRISM climatology. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. Online: http://www.fs.fed.us/rm/data_archive/dataaccess/US_ClimateScenarios_county_B2_PRISM.shtml

 


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