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Title: Analysis of potential impacts of climate change on forests of the United States Pacific Northwest
Author: Latta, Gregory; Temesgen, Hailemariam; Adams, Darius; Barrett, Tara
Source: Forest Ecology and Management. 259(4): 720-729
Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
Description: As global climate changes over the next century, forest productivity is expected to change as well. Using PRISM climate and productivity data measured on a grid of 3356 plots, we developed a simultaneous autoregressive model to estimate the impacts of climate change on potential productivity of Pacific Northwest forests of the United States. The model, coupled with climate change output from four generalized circulation models, was used to predict the productivity impacts of four different scenarios derived from the fourth Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change special report on emissions, representing different future economic and environmental states of the world. For managers and policy-makers. The results suggest the relative magnitude of effects and the potential variability of impacts across a range of climate scenarios.
Keywords: mapping climate change, mean annual increment, simultaneous autoregressive model, site class
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Latta, Gregory; Temesgen, Hailemariam; Adams, Darius; Barrett, Tara. 2010. Analysis of potential impacts of climate change on forests of the United States Pacific Northwest. Forest Ecology and Management. 259(4): 720-729.
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