You are here: Home
/ Publication Information
Title: Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate: detecting, modeling, assisting
Author: Iverson, Louis R.; McKenzie, Donald.
Source: Landscape Ecology. 28: 879-889
Publication Series: Journal/Magazine Article (JRNL)
Description: In these times of rapidly changing climate, the science of detecting and modeling shifts in the ranges of tree species is advancing of necessity. We briefly review the current state of the science on several fronts. First, we review current and historical evidence for shifting ranges and migration. Next, we review two broad categories of methods, focused on the spatial domain, for modeling potential range shifts and future suitable habitat: empirical species-distribution models and more process-based simulations. We propose long-term demography studies as a complementary approach in the time domain when sufficient data are available. Dispersal and successful migration into newly suitable habitat are key mechanisms constraining range shifts. We review three approaches to estimating these processes, followed by a discussion of the potential for assisted migration. We conclude that there have been significant recent advances on several fronts but there are still large uncertainties that need further research.
Keywords: Species distribution models, Process-based, Demography, Assisted migration
- We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
- This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
- This publication may be available in hard copy. Check the Northern Research Station web site to request a printed copy of this publication.
- Our on-line publications are scanned and captured using Adobe Acrobat. During the capture process some typographical errors may occur. Please contact Sharon Hobrla, email@example.com if you notice any errors which make this publication unusable.
XML: View XML
Iverson, Louis R.; McKenzie, Donald. 2013. Tree-species range shifts in a changing climate: detecting, modeling, assisting. Landscape Ecology. 28: 879-889.
Get the latest version of the Adobe Acrobat reader or Acrobat Reader for Windows with Search and Accessibility