Northern Research Station

Title: Atlas of climate change effects in 150 bird species of the Eastern United States

Author: Matthews, Stephen; O'Connor, Raymond; Iverson, Louis R.; Prasad, Anantha M.

Date: 2004

Source: Gen. Tech. Rep. NE-318. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station. 340 p.

Station ID: GTR-NE-318

Description: NOTE: Instructions for navigating this publication can be found on the front cover. This atlas documents the current and potential future distribution of 150 common bird species in the Eastern United States. Distribution data for individual species were derived from the Breeding Bird Survey (BBS) from 1981 to 1990. Regression tree analysis was used to model the BBS data as functions of contemporary climate and elevation variables and the current distribution of 68 tree species that occurred in the bird models. The model for each bird species is described. These models were projected onto two scenarios of global climate change. Depending on the global climate model used, as many as 78 bird species are projected to decrease in abundance by at least 25 percent, while as many as 33 species are projected to increase in abundance by at least 25 percent.

Keywords: birds, global climate change, trees, species distributions, range, distribution, regression tree analysis

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Citation

Matthews, Stephen; O'Connor, Raymond; Iverson, Louis R.; Prasad, Anantha M.  2004.  Atlas of climate change effects in 150 bird species of the Eastern United States.   Gen. Tech. Rep. NE-318. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station. 340 p..