You are here: Home
/ Publication Information
Title: Stochastic representation of fire behavior in a wildland fire protection planning model for California.
Author: Gilless, J. Keith; Fried, Jeremy S.;
Source: Forest Science. 45(4): 492-499
Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
Description: A fire behavior module was developed for the California Fire Economics Simulator version 2 (CFES2), a stochastic simulation model of initial attack on wildland fire used by the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection. Fire rate of spread (ROS) and fire dispatch level (FDL) for simulated fires "occurring" on the same day are determined by making coordinated draws from compound distributions characterizing 2 PM fire behavior indices such as ROS, then adjusting these draws using diurnal adjustment coefficients derived from hourly fire weather observations. Statistical examination of historical fire occurrence and predicted behavior data validated CFES2's use of independent fire occurrence and fire behavior modeling processes.
Keywords: CFES2, initial attack, fire rate of spread, burning index, fire
- We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
- This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
XML: View XML
Gilless, J. Keith; Fried, Jeremy S. 1998. Stochastic representation of fire behavior in a wildland fire protection planning model for California. Forest Science. 45(4): 492-499
Get the latest version of the Adobe Acrobat reader or Acrobat Reader for Windows with Search and Accessibility