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Publication Information

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Title: Prediction errors in wildland fire situation analyses.

Author: Donovan, Geoffrey H.; Noordijk, Peter.;

Date: 2005

Source: Fire Management Today. 65(2): 25-27

Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)

Description: Wildfires consume budgets and put the heat on fire managers to justify and control suppression costs. To determine the appropriate suppression strategy, land managers must conduct a wildland fire situation analysis (WFSA) when:

  • A wildland fire is expected to or does escape initial attack,
  • A wildland fire managed for resource benefits exceeds prescription parameters, or
  • A prescribed fire exceeds its prescription and is declared a wildfire.

On large wildfires, land managers sometimes conduct five or more WFSAs.

Publication Notes:

  • We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
  • This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.



Donovan, Geoffrey H.; Noordijk, Peter. 2005. Prediction errors in wildland fire situation analyses. Fire Management Today. 65(2): 25-27


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