You are here: Home
/ Publication Information
Title: Selecting tree species for testing climate change migration hypotheses using forest inventory data
Author: Woodall, C.W.; Oswalt, C.M.; Westfall, J.A.; Perry, C.H.; Nelson, M.D.; Finley, A.O.;
Source: Forest Ecology and Management. 259: 778-785.
Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
The lack of objective tree species lists hinders the assessment of climate change effects on tree species distributions. The goal of this studywas to develop and evaluate criteria for selecting tree species used in large-scale tree migration monitoring efforts. The results of this study indicate that tree migration conclusions are highly dependant on the species selected for examination. It was found that tree species' median latitudes or forecasted future areas provided objective criteria for development of species lists for migration hypothesis testing with the latter being insensitive to simulation error. Furthermore, only 10-15 of the top species, in terms of high median latitudes or loss in forecasted future area, are needed to maximize the sensitivity of amigration index. The use of such criteria in this study indicated a northward shift of sensitive tree populations of 27 km. It is suggested that examining species only the most likely to migrate serves as an objective starting point for migration detection. In contrast, the inclusion of all tree species commonly observed in large-scale forest inventories can obfuscate migration detection with tree species that have little ecological reason to immediately migrate in a changing climate.
Keywords: Climate change, tree migration, United States, forest, seedlings, latitude
- We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
- This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
- This publication may be available in hard copy. Check the Northern Research Station web site to request a printed copy of this publication.
- Our on-line publications are scanned and captured using Adobe Acrobat. During the capture process some typographical errors may occur. Please contact Sharon Hobrla, email@example.com if you notice any errors which make this publication unusable.
XML: View XML
Woodall, C.W.; Oswalt, C.M.; Westfall, J.A.; Perry, C.H.; Nelson, M.D.; Finley, A.O. 2010. Selecting tree species for testing climate change migration hypotheses using forest inventory data. Forest Ecology and Management. 259: 778-785.
Get the latest version of the Adobe Acrobat reader or Acrobat Reader for Windows with Search and Accessibility