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Publication Information

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Title: Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: an application of the global forest products model

Author: Buongiorno, Joseph; Raunikar, Ronald; Zhu, Shushuai;

Date: 2011

Source: Journal of Forest Economics 17(2):214-229

Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)

Description: The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) was applied to project the consequences for the global forest sector of doubling the rate of growth of bioenergy demand relative to a base scenario, other drivers being maintained constant. The results showed that this would lead to the convergence of the price of fuelwood and industrial roundwood, raising the price of industrial roundwood by nearly 30% in 2030. The price of sawnwood and panels would be 15% higher. The price of paper would be 3% higher. Concurrently, the demand for all manufactured wood products would be lower in all countries, but the production would rise in countries with competitive advantage. The global value added in wood processing industries would be 1% lower in 2030. The forest stock would be 2% lower for the world and 4% lower for Asia. These effects varied substantially by country.

Keywords: Forest sector, Modeling, Bioenergy, Fuelwood, Wood products, Prices, Demand, Supply, Trade

Publication Notes:

  • We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
  • This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.

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Buongiorno, Joseph; Raunikar, Ronald; Zhu, Shushuai 2011. Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: an application of the global forest products model. Journal of Forest Economics 17(2):214-229.

 


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