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Publication Information

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Title: Scenarios and decisionmaking for complex environmental systems

Author: Carpenter, Stephen R.; Rissman, Adena R.;

Date: 2012

Source: In: Bengston, David N., comp. 2012. Environmental futures research: experiences, approaches, and opportunities. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-P-107. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station: 37-43.

Publication Series: Proceedings - Paper (PR-P)

   Note: This article is part of a larger document. View the larger document

Description: Scenarios are used for expanding the scope of imaginable outcomes considered by assessments, planning exercises, or research projects on social-ecological systems. We discuss a global case study, the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, and a regional project for an urbanizing agricultural watershed. Qualitative and quantitative aspects of scenarios are complementary. Scenarios can help address several of the currently recognized challenges of sustainability science.

Keywords: strategic foresight, scenarios, trends, forecasting, change, environmental scanning

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Citation:


Carpenter, Stephen R.; Rissman, Adena R. 2012. Scenarios and decisionmaking for complex environmental systems. In: Bengston, David N., comp. 2012. Environmental futures research: experiences, approaches, and opportunities. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-P-107. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station: 37-43.

 


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